MI vs CSK Match 33 Prediction — El Clásico of IPL 2026.
Complete stats, head-to-head (21-18), predicted XIs, Wankhede pitch report and betting tips for Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings — the most iconic rivalry in Indian Premier League history.
Match 33 • TATA IPL 2026
League Stage • D/N • El Clásico
Wankhede Stadium
Mumbai, Maharashtra
MI
Mumbai Indians
Captain: Hardik Pandya
7thPosition
2Wins
4Losses
VS
7:30 PM IST
23 April 2026
CSK
Chennai Super Kings
Captain: Ruturaj Gaikwad
8thPosition
2Wins
4Losses
ReddyWin9 Prediction
Mumbai Indians to win
Win probability: 58% • MI lead H2H 21-18 • Wankhede home advantage + CSK injury crisis
Match Overview — El Clásico of IPL
The most celebrated rivalry in Indian Premier League history returns to Wankhede Stadium as Mumbai Indians host Chennai Super Kings in Match 33 of TATA IPL 2026. Between them they hold 10 IPL trophies — MI with 5 and CSK with 5 — making this the greatest rivalry in T20 franchise cricket globally. Both sides have met in 39 IPL matches and four IPL finals. When MI play CSK, the entire country watches.
This year, however, both giants are struggling. MI sit 7th with 2 wins from 6, having just broken a four-match losing streak with a 99-run demolition of Gujarat Titans (Tilak Varma 101* off 45). CSK are 8th with 2 wins from 6, fresh off a 10-run loss to SRH. Both teams desperately need points — another defeat and playoff hopes start evaporating.
Adding intrigue: Rohit Sharma and MS Dhoni may share a field again. Rohit (hamstring, missed last 2 games) is a doubt; Dhoni (calf issues, yet to feature in IPL 2026) has been seen batting and keeping in training — suggesting a potential return. It would be their first IPL meeting in over a year, nearly 20 years after their first shared match in October 2006.
On paper, Mumbai Indians are marginal favourites. Bookmakers price MI around ~58% win probability — driven by home advantage, the 21-18 head-to-head lead, and CSK's substantial injury list.
Why This Match Matters
"Both giants have 10 IPL trophies between them and 39 previous meetings. Neither can afford to lose — a defeat here virtually ends playoff hopes for the losing side. El Clásico has never been this desperate."
Head-to-Head Record
MI vs CSK has been contested 39 times since the inaugural IPL in 2008. Mumbai Indians lead the all-time record, and have also dominated in finals.
21
MI
Wins
— 39 MATCHES —
18
CSK
Wins
4
IPL Finals
3
MI Final Wins
1
CSK Final Win
10
Combined Trophies
Recent meetings: The most recent encounter at Wankhede ended in a 9-wicket MI win featuring unbeaten half-centuries from Rohit Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav. That result is misleading though — CSK have won 4 of the last 5 overall, making this a more even rivalry than MI's 3-point lead suggests. Rohit Sharma holds the most runs across these meetings; Jasprit Bumrah holds the most wickets. In IPL finals they've met 4 times — MI won in 2013, 2015, and 2019; CSK won the inaugural IPL final in 2010.
Recent Form & Momentum
Both teams arrive in the middle of difficult seasons, but MI have the bigger momentum swing after crushing Gujarat Titans in their last match.
MI
7th • 4 pts
Last 5 Matches
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 in a row (incl. to PBKS and RCB) before smashing GT by 99 runs — Tilak Varma 101* off 45, bowled GT out for 100. Biggest positive turnaround of any team in IPL 2026.
CSK
8th • 4 pts
Last 5 Matches
L
L
W
W
L
Lost first 3, bounced back with wins over DC (Samson 115*) and KKR, then fell 10 runs short vs SRH. Injury crisis worsening — 18 players already used this season.
Key Players to Watch
Six players who could decide MI vs CSK Match 33. Stats verified from IPL 2026 season data.
In Form • MI
Tilak Varma
Mumbai Indians
101*
Off 45 balls vs GT
Last match
Back-to-back form
Purple Cap Leader • CSK
Anshul Kamboj
Chennai Super Kings
13
Wickets in IPL 2026
Avg 16.23
Purple Cap leader
Top Scorer • MI
Naman Dhir
Mumbai Indians
154
Runs in 6 Innings
SR 152.48
MI top scorer
WK/Batter • CSK
Sanju Samson
Chennai Super Kings
115*
Best score vs DC
Form returning
X-factor
Captain • MI
Hardik Pandya
Mumbai Indians
ALL-ROUND
Captain & Finisher
Death overs
Crucial role
Pacer • MI
Jasprit Bumrah
Mumbai Indians
KING
Most H2H wickets
Death overs
Home pitch
Predicted Playing XIs
Probable XIs based on recent team sheets, with Rohit Sharma's fitness and Dhoni's potential return both uncertain at time of publishing.
Mumbai Indians XI
- Quinton de KockWK
- Rohit SharmaDoubt
- Suryakumar Yadav
- Tilak Varma
- Sherfane Rutherford
- Naman Dhir
- Hardik PandyaC
- Mitchell Santner
- Will Jacks / Krish Bhagat
- Allah Ghazanfar
- Jasprit Bumrah
Chennai Super Kings XI
- Sanju SamsonWK
- Ruturaj GaikwadC
- Urvil Patel
- Dewald Brevis
- Sarfaraz Khan
- Shivam Dube
- Matthew Short / MS DhoniDoubt
- Jamie Overton
- Anshul Kamboj
- Noor Ahmad
- Mukesh Choudhary
Injury & Availability Update
Mumbai Indians
- Rohit Sharma — hamstring, missed last 2 games, doubt
- Will Jacks — returning, major boost
Chennai Super Kings
- Ayush Mhatre — hamstring tear, OUT FOR SEASON
- Nathan Ellis — ruled out
- Khaleel Ahmed — ruled out
- MS Dhoni — calf, doubt (seen batting in training)
Wankhede Stadium Pitch Report
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Red Soil • Batting Friendly • Dew Factor
190-220Par Score
172Avg 1st Inn (career)
70/128Chases Won
BowlAfter Toss
What to expect: Wankhede is one of the most batting-friendly venues in IPL — flat, hard red-soil surface with true bounce and good carry. Short square boundaries plus a quick outfield mean batters can swing freely from ball one. Fast bowlers get some swing and bounce with the new ball in the powerplay; spinners need smart variations to survive the middle overs. Dew is the defining factor at night games — the ball skids onto the bat under lights, giving chasing teams a massive advantage. 70 of 128 IPL matches at Wankhede have been won by the chasing team, making bowl-first after winning toss the near-universal choice. Recent 2026 history at the venue: average first-innings total around 218 across 3 matches. Expect 200+ totals and the team chasing to have an edge if dew arrives by over 8-10 of the second innings.
Weather Forecast
Humid Mumbai evening, no rain
Humid conditions expected with temperatures dropping to ~28°C at toss. Very low rain probability (~5%). Heavy dew expected after the 8th over of the second innings — a major factor that favours the chasing team.
28°C
Key Player Battles
Individual match-ups that will shape the outcome of El Clásico. Pay close attention to these when building fantasy teams or placing bets.
Ruturaj Gaikwad
CSK Captain
VS
Jasprit Bumrah
MI Pacer
Surprisingly in Gaikwad's favour historically — in 3 previous innings, he's made 29 runs off 17 balls with no dismissal against Bumrah. But Gaikwad is in miserable form this season (82 runs in 6 innings, avg 13.67), and Bumrah on a Wankhede pitch is a different animal. If Bumrah breaks through early, CSK's batting collapses.
Tilak Varma
MI In-Form Batter
VS
Anshul Kamboj
CSK Purple Cap Leader
The tournament's Purple Cap leader (13 wickets at 16.23) against the batter who just hit 101* off 45 balls in his last innings. Kamboj's wide yorkers from round-the-wicket at the death could contain Tilak, but if Tilak gets going, Wankhede boundaries are too short to save CSK.
Shivam Dube
CSK Finisher
VS
Mitchell Santner
MI Spinner
Dube is CSK's only left-hander in the top 8 — his entry point determines whether MI can use Santner's left-arm spin effectively. If Dube reaches the crease by over 10, MI lose their spin weapon against him. With Brevis also in the middle order, CSK are theoretically one of the hardest teams in IPL 2026 to bowl spin against.
MI vs CSK Betting Tips & Fancy Markets
High-value betting markets for El Clásico based on form, venue stats and player analysis. Apply these with your ReddyWin9 betting ID.
Match Odds
Match Winner — Mumbai Indians
Back MI
H2H lead 21-18, home advantage, CSK injury crisis, massive momentum swing after GT demolition.
Method
Toss Winner Choice — Bowl
Bowl First
70 of 128 Wankhede IPL matches won by chasing team. Dew factor makes bowling first the obvious call.
Session
Powerplay Runs (MI) — Over 55
Back Over
Wankhede flat, short boundaries, de Kock and Rohit (if fit) attack from ball one.
Fancy
Tilak Varma — Over 30.5 Runs
Back Over
Tilak has history of back-to-back big scores. 101* in last innings means confidence is peaking.
Fancy
Top MI Batsman
Back Tilak or SKY
Suryakumar Yadav due a big one at his home ground. Tilak is the safer play given current form.
Total Runs
Match Total — Over 395
Back Over
Wankhede 2026 avg has been 218 first inn. Small boundaries + dew in second inn = 400+ total likely.
Session
Top CSK Bowler — Anshul Kamboj
Back Kamboj
13 wickets at 16.23, bowling with new ball and at death — dual threat phases.
Fancy
Total Sixes — Over 17.5
Back Over
Short Wankhede boundaries + power hitters on both sides (Pandya, Dube, Brevis, Rutherford).
Method
Will Dhoni Play?
Yes @ value odds
Recent training sessions suggest readiness. El Clásico is the match CSK would want Dhoni back for.
Fancy
Jasprit Bumrah — Over 1.5 Wickets
Back Over
Bumrah has most wickets in MI-CSK H2H history. Home pitch, dew-free first innings gives him control.
Pro Tip
"Always wait for the team news on Rohit Sharma and MS Dhoni before locking in match odds. Their availability swings the odds by 4-6%. If Dhoni plays AND Rohit sits, CSK become value despite being underdogs."
Final Verdict
Mumbai Indians to win. Win probability: 58%. The combination of home advantage at Wankhede, the H2H lead (21-18), crushing momentum from the GT thrashing, and CSK's injury crisis all point one direction. Tilak Varma is red-hot, Bumrah is Bumrah at Wankhede, and MI's batting unit looks complete if Rohit returns.
CSK's path to victory is narrow but not impossible: win the toss, bowl first, use Kamboj's new-ball magic to dismiss de Kock and Rohit cheaply, then let Samson, Brevis and Dube chase in dew. They have the batsmen to chase 200. What they don't have is a reliable bowling attack against MI's power hitters on a short-boundary ground.
Our key picks: Match odds MI. Top batsman Tilak Varma. Top bowler Jasprit Bumrah (MI) or Anshul Kamboj (CSK). Total match runs over 395. Bowl first at toss. Take MI match odds early if they drift above 1.80 — that's solid value.
Complete FAQ Guide — Everything Asked About MI vs CSK Match 33
30+ questions answered. From match basics to deep stats, pitch/venue data, injury impact, fantasy strategy, H2H history, toss patterns, betting markets and broadcast details. Click any question to expand the answer.
Match Basics
MI vs CSK Match 33 of TATA IPL 2026 is being played on Thursday, 23 April 2026 at 7:30 PM IST at Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai. Toss takes place at 7:00 PM IST.
The match is broadcast live on Star Sports Network (Star Sports 1, Star Sports 1 HD, and regional language feeds including Hindi, Tamil, Telugu, Kannada, and Malayalam). Digital streaming is available on JioHotstar across mobile, tablet, web and smart TV apps. Live radio commentary is on All India Radio.
MI vs CSK is called "El Clásico of IPL" because of the historic rivalry between the two most successful franchises in Indian Premier League history — combined they have won 10 IPL titles (MI 5 + CSK 5). They have met in 4 IPL finals, more than any other pairing. The clash captures the largest TV audiences of the season, similar to how the Barcelona-Real Madrid "El Clásico" is football's biggest rivalry.
Mumbai Indians are favourites at ~58% win probability. MI come into the match after a 99-run thrashing of Gujarat Titans with Tilak Varma scoring 101* off 45 balls. Their H2H lead (21-18), home advantage at Wankhede, and CSK's multiple injuries (Mhatre out for season, Dhoni doubt, Ellis and Khaleel ruled out) all tilt the prediction toward Mumbai Indians.
Indicative bookmaker odds price Mumbai Indians around 1.75-1.85 (implied probability ~54-57%) and Chennai Super Kings around 2.05-2.20 (implied probability ~45-49%). Odds shift with team news — if Rohit Sharma is ruled out, MI odds lengthen slightly; if Dhoni plays, CSK odds shorten. Always check live odds right before toss.
Tilak Varma is the safest captain pick given his 101* off 45 last match and back-to-back big-score history. Suryakumar Yadav at his home ground is the high-upside differential. For bowler captains, Anshul Kamboj (Purple Cap leader, 13 wickets at 16.23) is the best option. Risky picks to avoid captain/VC: Ruturaj Gaikwad (82 runs in 6 innings), Suryakumar Yadav (121 runs at avg 20.17 this season — out of form but home ground lifts him).
A 2-3-3-3 combination works well given both teams' batting has been inconsistent and multiple all-rounders are available. Suggested lineup: Sanju Samson + Quinton de Kock (WK), Tilak Varma + Dewald Brevis + Naman Dhir (Batters), Hardik Pandya + Jamie Overton + Shivam Dube + Mitchell Santner (All-rounders), Jasprit Bumrah + Anshul Kamboj (Bowlers). Captain Tilak Varma, Vice-Captain Anshul Kamboj.
Mumbai Indians lead the head-to-head 21-18 across 39 IPL meetings — the most contested rivalry in Indian Premier League history. They have also met in 4 IPL finals: MI won in 2013, 2015, and 2019; CSK won the first-ever IPL final in 2010. In recent history, CSK have actually won 4 of the last 5 regular-season meetings, making the rivalry tighter than the overall record suggests.
The most recent encounter at Wankhede Stadium in IPL 2025 ended in a 9-wicket Mumbai Indians victory featuring unbeaten half-centuries from Rohit Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav. MI chased down the CSK total with overs to spare. That match set the recent benchmark for Wankhede being a chasing-friendly ground in MI vs CSK fixtures.
Rohit Sharma holds the most runs across the MI vs CSK rivalry, accumulated over more than a decade of meetings as MI's most consistent top-order batter in this fixture. In the bowling charts, Jasprit Bumrah holds the most wickets, making him the most influential player statistically across MI-CSK encounters.
Naman Dhir is Mumbai Indians' top run-scorer in IPL 2026 so far with 154 runs in 6 innings at a strike rate of 152.48. Tilak Varma's 101* off 45 vs GT is MI's standout individual performance of the season, pushing him into top-scorer contention for the next half of the tournament.
Anshul Kamboj is CSK's best performer — the Purple Cap leader of IPL 2026 with 13 wickets in 6 innings at an average of 16.23. With the bat, Ayush Mhatre was CSK's leading scorer (201 runs at SR 177.87) before suffering a season-ending hamstring tear. Sanju Samson's unbeaten 115 vs Delhi Capitals stands as CSK's top individual batting effort.
Wankhede offers one of the most batting-friendly pitches in IPL — a flat, hard red-soil surface with true bounce and good carry. Par score is 190-220. Fast bowlers get some swing and bounce with the new ball. Spinners need variations to contain in the middle overs. Short square boundaries and a quick outfield make this a high-scoring venue. Dew is the decisive factor at night games — 70 of 128 IPL matches at Wankhede have been won by the chasing team.
Chasing teams have a significant edge at Wankhede. 70 of 128 IPL matches (55%) at the venue have been won by the team chasing. In IPL 2026 specifically, 2 of the 3 matches played at Wankhede have been won by the chasing team. The dew factor from the 8th over of the second innings onwards is the main reason — it makes the ball skid rather than grip, easing stroke-play.
The average first-innings total at Wankhede in IPL 2026 (across 3 matches played so far) is approximately 218. This is higher than the career average of 172 at the venue — suggesting 2026 pitches are flatter and the boundary dimensions have favoured batters even more than in previous seasons.
Dew is expected to set in from around the 8th-10th over of the second innings. It makes the ball wet and slippery, neutralising spin grip and making the ball skid onto the bat. For Match 33, this means: (1) toss winner will almost certainly bowl first, (2) Mitchell Santner (MI) and Noor Ahmad (CSK) will be less effective in the second innings, (3) chasing teams can comfortably target 200+. Mumbai fans should hope MI bat second; CSK fans should hope Ruturaj Gaikwad wins the toss and bowls.
Rohit Sharma is doubtful. He has missed Mumbai Indians' last two matches with a hamstring injury. There's a chance he could be fit to start against CSK given the significance of the El Clásico fixture, but MI may rest him to preserve him for the back end of the season. Official team news comes at toss time (7:00 PM IST).
MS Dhoni's participation is uncertain but trending toward probable. He has yet to feature in IPL 2026 due to calf issues but has been seen batting AND keeping wickets in CSK's training sessions — keeping being significant as he typically doesn't practice that at his peak. El Clásico is exactly the sort of match CSK would want Dhoni back for, to lift the dressing room and add experience alongside Samson behind the stumps.
Urvil Patel is the most likely replacement. He joined CSK toward the tail-end of IPL 2025 and smashed 68 runs in 3 innings at a strike rate of 212.5. Other options include Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Ravi Singh, and Yash Punja, but Urvil's explosive top-order credentials fit Mhatre's role most closely. If Dhoni returns, CSK may drop Matthew Short to accommodate him — further reshuffling the middle order.
CSK have been hit hard by injuries: Ayush Mhatre is out for the season (hamstring tear), Nathan Ellis is ruled out, and Khaleel Ahmed is ruled out. MS Dhoni remains a doubt with calf issues. CSK have already used 18 players across 6 matches this season — more than any team in IPL 2026 — highlighting the depth being tested.
No. Suryakumar Yadav is currently out of form with 121 runs in 6 innings at an average of just 20.17 — well below his usual standards. He's been struggling since the T20 World Cup. However, Wankhede is his home ground and the form usually returns here. Think of him as a high-variance pick: risky for Dream11 captaincy but capable of a match-winning knock.
Ruturaj Gaikwad has scored just 82 runs in 6 innings at an average of 13.67 — massively below his career standards. Reasons include a technical issue outside off stump being exposed by quality new-ball bowling, the captaincy load affecting his batting rhythm, and CSK's top-order shuffling due to Mhatre and Samson both being options. Interestingly, he has made 3 half-centuries in 9 career innings against MI (including 2 in his last 2 MI encounters), so this could be the fixture where he finds form.
Yes, Will Jacks is set to return to the Mumbai Indians XI against CSK. His availability is a major boost for MI's middle order given his power-hitting ability and part-time off-spin. He adds an England-style aggressive option in the middle phase that MI were missing in their losing streak.
Three high-value markets to focus on: (1) Match Odds — back MI to win at 1.75-1.85, (2) Total Runs over 395 — Wankhede short boundaries + dew factor make 200+ totals in both innings highly likely, (3) Toss Winner Choice — Bowl First, almost guaranteed given 55% chase win rate at the venue. Avoid Fancy markets on Ruturaj Gaikwad unless you're confident on him finding form vs MI (possible but high variance).
Yes. MI's recent form is misleading — their 4-match losing streak ended with a 99-run mauling of Gujarat Titans, and that's the kind of confidence boost that can carry a team forward. Home advantage at Wankhede where they have a superior record, plus CSK's injury list, makes MI the right-side bet. Odds above 1.80 represent good value.
Fancy betting refers to wagers on specific in-game events rather than the match outcome. Examples include: runs scored in specific overs (session betting), individual batter runs, individual bowler wickets, total match sixes, method of dismissal, and player of the match. Fancy markets have higher variance but also better odds, and they're live-bettable — the prices move with every ball. ReddyWin9 offers deep fancy markets across every IPL match.
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Both Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings have won 5 IPL titles each, making them the two most successful franchises in Indian Premier League history. Between them they hold 10 of the 18 trophies awarded (through 2025). MI won in 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2020. CSK won in 2010, 2011, 2018, 2021, and 2023.
Rohit Sharma and MS Dhoni first shared a playing field on October 1, 2006, when Rohit played for India Red and Dhoni for India Blue in the 50-overs Challenger Trophy in Chennai. That was the first of over 650 matches they've been involved in either as teammates (India national team) or opponents (MI vs CSK in IPL). If both play Match 33, it will be close to 20 years since that first meeting.
CSK have used 18 players across their 6 matches in IPL 2026 so far — a very high number caused by their injury crisis (Mhatre, Ellis, Khaleel, Dhoni issues). A 19th player could feature on Thursday if Dhoni returns. Mumbai Indians have actually used even more players — 20, the highest of any team — reflecting Hardik Pandya's ongoing search for the right playing XI.
Hardik Pandya captains Mumbai Indians in IPL 2026, continuing from IPL 2024 when he took over from Rohit Sharma. Ruturaj Gaikwad captains Chennai Super Kings, having taken over the leadership following MS Dhoni's step-down. Both captains are under intense scrutiny given their teams' mid-table struggles.
Wankhede has some of the shortest square boundaries in IPL cricket — often as little as 57-64 metres at the square leg and point ends. The straight boundaries are longer (around 68-72m) but still batter-friendly. Combined with a quick outfield, this means mistimed shots often clear the rope. Spinners bowling from round the wicket to the shorter side face particular punishment.
Four IPL finals have featured MI vs CSK: 2010 (CSK won, inaugural IPL final), 2013 (MI won), 2015 (MI won), and 2019 (MI won). MI have a 3-1 lead in finals, but CSK hold the historic distinction of winning the first-ever IPL final. No other franchise pairing has produced as many finals.
Both sides are mathematically alive but on the edge. With 4 points from 6 matches and roughly 8 games remaining, each needs to win around 5 of their remaining fixtures to hit 14 points — typically the IPL playoff cutoff. A loss in Match 33 virtually ends that hope. A win gives either side momentum to attempt a late-season charge, which both clubs have historically managed (especially MI).
Possibly. MS Dhoni has not announced retirement but at age 44 with ongoing calf issues, each IPL season could be his last. If he plays Match 33 and CSK don't qualify for playoffs, it might mark his final appearance at Wankhede — making this El Clásico historically significant beyond the points table implications.
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