RR vs SRH Match 36 Prediction — TATA IPL 2026.
Complete stats, head-to-head (SRH 13-9), predicted XIs, Sawai Mansingh Stadium pitch report and 11 betting tips for Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad — RR's first home match at Jaipur this season, with Pat Cummins potentially returning for SRH.
Match 36 • TATA IPL 2026
League Stage • D/N • RR's First Home Match
Sawai Mansingh Stadium
Jaipur, Rajasthan
RR
Rajasthan Royals
Captain: Riyan Parag
2ndPosition
5Wins
2Losses
VS
7:30 PM IST
25 April 2026
SRH
Sunrisers Hyderabad
Captain: Pat Cummins
4thPosition
4Wins
3Losses
ReddyWin9 Prediction
Rajasthan Royals to win
Win probability: 52% • Home advantage tilts coin flip • Archer + Bishnoi tailor-made for Jaipur surface
Match Overview — A Genuine Coin Flip
Match 36 of TATA IPL 2026 is the second match of a doubleheader Saturday — and arguably the more compelling of the two. Rajasthan Royals host Sunrisers Hyderabad at Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur, in what is RR's first home match of the season. The Pink Army faithful finally get to see Riyan Parag's side play in front of them.
Both teams arrive in form. RR are 2nd on the table with 5 wins from 7, fresh off a clinical 40-run win over LSG where they defended just 159 — the lowest successful defence of IPL 2026. Ravindra Jadeja's unbeaten 43 off 29 rescued the innings from 32/3, then Jofra Archer picked up 3 wickets to seal the win. SRH are 4th with 4 wins from 7 but riding a 3-match winning streak, capped by a 47-run demolition of DC where Abhishek Sharma smashed 135* off 55 balls (his 9th T20 hundred). They posted 242/2.
SRH carry a significant psychological edge — they lead the head-to-head 13-9 and have won the last 4 consecutive meetings, including the first leg of IPL 2026 on April 13 at Hyderabad where they beat RR by 57 runs. RR will be hungry for revenge. The numbers are staggering: Abhishek Sharma 323 runs at SR 215.33 (Orange Cap leader), Heinrich Klaasen 320 runs at SR 153.11, and Ishan Kishan 238 runs at SR 188.89 (including 91 off 44 against RR in the first leg).
There's another twist: Pat Cummins is likely to return for SRH after recovering from a fitness issue. His return strengthens their bowling significantly — Cummins replaces Ishan Kishan as captain. On paper, this is a near coin-flip. Bookmakers price it at ~48-54% — the closest line of the week. RR's home advantage in Jaipur conditions tilt the prediction marginally to RR at 52%, but there's no clear favourite.
The Big Picture
"Rajasthan haven't beaten SRH in their last 4 attempts. Tonight, the Pink Army roars at home for the first time, and Jofra Archer + Ravi Bishnoi face Abhishek Sharma + Klaasen on a spin-friendly Jaipur surface. The toss could decide everything."
Head-to-Head Record
SRH dominate the all-time RR vs SRH rivalry across 22 IPL meetings. The recent picture is even more lopsided — 4 consecutive wins for SRH including a 57-run thrashing in the first leg of 2026.
9
RR
Wins
— 22 MATCHES —
13
SRH
Wins
4
SRH Wins in a Row
57
First Leg SRH Margin
1
RR IPL Title (2008)
1
SRH IPL Title (2016)
First leg of IPL 2026 (April 13 at Hyderabad): SRH won by 57 runs in a thoroughly dominant performance. Ishan Kishan made 91 off 44 at the top of the order, and SRH's middle order finished strongly. Praful Hinge took the key wicket of Yashasvi Jaiswal — a dismissal Jaiswal will remember vividly. RR struggled to chase under pressure.
Recent Form & Momentum
Both teams have momentum entering Match 36, but in different ways — RR's bowling is firing, SRH's batting is on a tear.
RR
2nd • 10 pts
Last 5 Matches
L
L
W
W
W
Bounced back from consecutive losses (to SRH and KKR) with a clinical 40-run win over LSG defending just 159 — lowest successful defence of season. Jofra Archer 3-fer, Bishnoi superb. Batting form has dipped recently though.
SRH
4th • 8 pts
Last 5 Matches
L
L
W
W
W
3-match winning streak after slow start (1 win in first 4). Most recent: 47-run demolition of DC, Abhishek Sharma 135* off 55, posted 242/2. Ishan Kishan + Klaasen + Travis Head all firing. Pat Cummins returning.
Key Players to Watch
Six players who could decide RR vs SRH Match 36. Stats verified from IPL 2026 season data.
Orange Cap • SRH
Abhishek Sharma
Sunrisers Hyderabad
323
Runs at SR 215.33
135* last
9 T20 tons
Spin Destroyer • SRH
Heinrich Klaasen
Sunrisers Hyderabad
320
Runs at SR 153.11
vs spin best
Match-winner
In Form • RR
Yashasvi Jaiswal
Rajasthan Royals
245
Runs in 7 matches
Anchor role
Revenge motive
Pacer • RR
Jofra Archer
Rajasthan Royals
11
Wickets in IPL 2026
3-fer last
New ball threat
Spinner • RR
Ravi Bishnoi
Rajasthan Royals
11
Wickets in IPL 2026
Klaasen's foe
Mid-overs key
Captain Returns • SRH
Pat Cummins
Sunrisers Hyderabad
RETURN
If fit, leads SRH
Replaces Ishan
Pace boost
Predicted Playing XIs
Most-likely XIs based on team form. RR likely unchanged after LSG win; SRH may welcome Pat Cummins back.
Rajasthan Royals XI
- Vaibhav Sooryavanshi
- Yashasvi Jaiswal
- Dhruv JurelWK
- Riyan ParagC
- Shimron Hetmyer
- Donovan Ferreira
- Ravindra Jadeja
- Jofra Archer
- Nandre Burger
- Ravi Bishnoi
- Sandeep Sharma
Sunrisers Hyderabad XI
- Travis Head
- Abhishek Sharma
- Ishan KishanWK
- Heinrich Klaasen
- Aniket Verma
- Nitish Kumar Reddy
- Pat CumminsCFit?
- Harsh Dubey
- Eshan Malinga
- Jaydev Unadkat
- Zeeshan Ansari
Sawai Mansingh Stadium Pitch Report
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
Balanced • Spin-Friendly Mid-Overs • Large Boundaries
175-185Winning Total
41/65Chases Won
7-15Spin Phase Overs
BowlAfter Toss
What to expect: The Sawai Mansingh Stadium pitch is fundamentally different from the high-scoring belters of Hyderabad and Bengaluru. Early grass gives pacers like Jofra Archer genuine assistance in the first 6 overs, before slowing down significantly through the middle phase, where Ravi Bishnoi and Ravindra Jadeja become genuinely dangerous. The large boundary dimensions make power-hitting harder than at most IPL venues. Score of 175-185 is typically a winning total. Historically, chasing teams have done well — 41 of 65 IPL matches at the venue have been won by sides bowling first. The toss is important. With dew expected from over 12 of the second innings, the chase advantage is real. RR's bowling attack of Archer + Bishnoi + Jadeja is tailor-made for this surface.
Weather Forecast
Clear Jaipur evening, dew expected
Dry, clear conditions. Temperature drops to ~32°C at toss, ~28°C at second innings. Zero rain probability. Moderate-to-heavy dew expected from over 12 of the second innings — a key factor that favours the chasing team and reduces spin grip.
32°C
Key Player Battles
Three individual match-ups that will shape Match 36. Pay close attention when building Dream11 teams or placing bets.
Heinrich Klaasen
SRH Spin Destroyer
VS
Ravi Bishnoi
RR Leg-Spinner
Klaasen is the world's most destructive middle-order batter against spin and the one player who could make the Jaipur surface irrelevant if he gets set. Bishnoi's quicker googlies are one of the most difficult challenges for any spin-basher at this venue. If Bishnoi removes Klaasen cheaply, SRH's finishing power drops dramatically. This is the match-defining battle.
Yashasvi Jaiswal
RR Opener
VS
Praful Hinge
SRH Pacer
Jaiswal was one of Praful Hinge's victims in the first leg on April 13 — that dismissal will have stayed with him. Jaiswal has 245 runs in 7 matches but the SRH pace attack has had his number recently. On a Jaipur surface that rewards patience and timing, Jaiswal's ability to build an innings methodically while still scoring at a healthy rate makes him RR's most critical batting asset.
Abhishek Sharma
SRH Orange Cap Leader
VS
Jofra Archer
RR New-Ball
The Powerplay duel. Abhishek's 323 runs at SR 215.33 is the best in IPL 2026 — coming off 135* off 55. Archer with the new ball at Jaipur with early grass on the pitch could swing or seam the ball both ways. If Archer dismisses Abhishek in the powerplay, SRH lose their primary engine.
RR vs SRH Betting Tips & Fancy Markets
11 high-value betting markets for Match 36 based on form, venue and player matchups. Apply with your ReddyWin9 betting ID.
Match Odds
Match Winner — Rajasthan Royals
Back RR @ 1.85-1.95
Home advantage, Archer + Bishnoi tailor-made for surface, revenge motive after first-leg loss.
Method
Toss Winner Choice — Bowl
Bowl First
63% chase win rate at Jaipur. Dew factor favours bowling first. Both captains likely choose this.
Fancy
Abhishek Sharma — Over 32.5 Runs
Back Over
SR 215.33, 323 runs. Even a quick 20-ball cameo hits the over. Highest-floor bet.
Fancy
Jaiswal — Over 28.5 Runs
Back Over
245 runs in 7. Anchor role, home crowd, revenge motive. He WILL go big tonight.
Session
Powerplay Runs (SRH) — Over 60
Back Over
Travis Head + Abhishek Sharma open. SRH have the most explosive powerplay in IPL 2026.
Fancy
Top RR Bowler — Jofra Archer
Back Archer
11 wickets, took 3-fer last match. Early grass at Jaipur amplifies his swing. New ball gold.
Session
Top SRH Batsman
Back Abhishek/Klaasen
Orange Cap leader vs spin destroyer. One of them will go big — split your stake.
Total Runs
Match Total — Under 360
Back Under
Jaipur is NOT a 220 belter. Larger boundaries, spin phase. 175-185 is winning total.
Fancy
Total Wickets — Over 12.5
Back Over
Both teams have wicket-taking attacks. RR defended 159 last match. Spin-friendly surface.
Method
Will Pat Cummins Play?
Yes @ value odds
Multiple sources confirm likely return after fitness clearance. SRH need him at full strength.
Fancy
Bishnoi vs Klaasen — First Wicket?
Yes @ enhanced odds
Match-defining battle. If Bishnoi gets him, watch RR cruise. Best high-upside fancy bet.
Pro Tip
"Watch the toss carefully. If RR win toss and bowl first, push your stake on RR — Archer with new ball + dew advantage in second innings = 65%+ chance of winning. If SRH bowl first, this becomes a coin flip again."
Final Verdict
Rajasthan Royals to win. Win probability: 52%. This is a genuine coin flip on bookmaker markets, but home advantage in Jaipur tips the scales marginally toward RR. The bowling attack of Archer, Bishnoi, and Jadeja is tailor-made for the Sawai Mansingh surface — early seam, mid-overs spin, late-innings cutters. SRH's ultra-aggressive batting is harder to execute when boundaries are bigger and the pitch offers something to bowlers throughout. The "Pink Army" home factor is real — first home match of the season, packed crowd, emotional lift.
SRH's path to victory: Win toss, bat first to set 200+, get Klaasen and Abhishek going, then use Cummins (if fit) + Eshan Malinga to defend. Their 4-match winning streak in this rivalry shows they have RR's number tactically. If Klaasen survives Bishnoi, SRH win.
Our key picks: Match odds RR @ 1.85+. Top batsman Abhishek Sharma. Top bowler Jofra Archer (RR) or Eshan Malinga (SRH). Total runs UNDER 360 (Jaipur is not a 220 belter). Bowl first at toss. Take RR match odds early if they drift above 1.95 — that's value given home advantage.
Complete FAQ Guide — Everything Asked About RR vs SRH Match 36
40+ questions answered. From match basics to deep stats, pitch/venue data, player form, fantasy strategy, H2H history, toss patterns, betting markets, broadcast details and Pat Cummins' return. Click any question to expand.
Match Basics
RR vs SRH Match 36 of TATA IPL 2026 is being played on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at 7:30 PM IST at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium in Jaipur. Toss is at 7:00 PM IST. This is the second match of a doubleheader Saturday after DC vs PBKS at 3:30 PM IST.
The match is broadcast live on Star Sports Network (Star Sports 1, Star Sports 1 HD, regional language feeds in Hindi, Tamil, Telugu, Kannada, Malayalam). Digital streaming is available on JioHotstar across mobile, tablet, web and smart TV apps.
This is Rajasthan Royals' FIRST HOME MATCH of IPL 2026 at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium. The Pink Army faithful — RR's passionate Jaipur fans — finally get to see Riyan Parag's side play in front of them this season. The atmosphere will be electric, and it's RR's first chance to use home conditions to their advantage in the playoff race.
The toss for RR vs SRH Match 36 takes place at 7:00 PM IST on Saturday 25 April 2026, exactly 30 minutes before the scheduled match start of 7:30 PM IST. Toss decisions are crucial — at Jaipur, 41 of 65 matches have been won by sides bowling first, so expect both captains to want to chase if they win.
This is the SECOND leg meeting in IPL 2026. The first leg was on April 13 at Hyderabad where SRH won by 57 runs (Ishan Kishan 91 off 44). RR will be hungry for revenge in Jaipur, especially with home advantage. SRH have won all 4 most recent meetings between the sides — a streak RR will be desperate to break tonight.
Rajasthan Royals are slight favourites at ~52% win probability. The match is genuinely close — bookmakers price it as a near coin flip (48-54%). RR's home advantage at Sawai Mansingh, their bowling attack tailor-made for the spin-friendly surface (Archer + Bishnoi + Jadeja), and the revenge motive after the first-leg 57-run loss tilt the prediction marginally to RR. SRH's H2H dominance (13-9 with 4 consecutive wins) and explosive batting (Abhishek 323 runs, Klaasen 320) keep this competitive.
Indicative bookmaker odds price Rajasthan Royals around 1.85-1.95 (implied probability ~52%) and Sunrisers Hyderabad around 1.90-2.00 (implied probability ~50%). It's one of the closest priced matches of the IPL 2026 week. Odds shift with toss and Pat Cummins' fitness confirmation. Always check live odds right before toss.
Abhishek Sharma is the safest captain — Orange Cap leader with 323 runs at SR 215.33, 9th T20 hundred, in red-hot form. Heinrich Klaasen (320 runs, spin destroyer) is the high-upside differential. Yashasvi Jaiswal at home with revenge motive is the value RR pick. For bowler captains, Jofra Archer (3-fer last match, new ball at Jaipur) or Ravi Bishnoi (mid-overs spin specialist) are top options.
Suggested 2-3-2-4: Ishan Kishan + Dhruv Jurel (WK), Abhishek Sharma + Heinrich Klaasen + Yashasvi Jaiswal (Batters), Ravindra Jadeja + Pat Cummins (All-rounders), Jofra Archer + Ravi Bishnoi + Eshan Malinga + Sandeep Sharma (Bowlers). Captain Abhishek Sharma, Vice-Captain Yashasvi Jaiswal. Backup pick: Riyan Parag for differential play.
Pat Cummins is likely to return for SRH after recovering from a fitness concern, subject to a final fitness test on match day. If he plays, he replaces Ishan Kishan as captain (Kishan was interim captain). His return strengthens SRH's bowling significantly. Final team news will be confirmed at toss at 7:00 PM IST. If you're betting on the match, wait for the team sheet before placing big stakes.
Sunrisers Hyderabad lead the head-to-head 13-9 across 22 IPL meetings. SRH have won the last 4 consecutive meetings between the sides — including the first leg of IPL 2026 (April 13 at Hyderabad) where they won by 57 runs. RR have struggled against SRH in recent years, and tonight is their chance to break that streak with home advantage.
Yes — both teams have won the IPL once each. Rajasthan Royals won the inaugural IPL in 2008 under Shane Warne's captaincy. Sunrisers Hyderabad won in 2016 under David Warner's captaincy. Despite both being early IPL winners, they've struggled to win again. RR have made finals in 2008 and recent years; SRH made finals in 2018 and 2024 (lost both).
SRH won the first leg of IPL 2026 by 57 runs on April 13 at Hyderabad. Ishan Kishan made 91 off 44 at the top of the order. Yashasvi Jaiswal was dismissed by Praful Hinge — a wicket Jaiswal will remember vividly. SRH's middle order with Klaasen and Aniket Verma finished strongly. RR struggled to chase under pressure. This 57-run loss is exactly what RR will be looking to avenge tonight.
Abhishek Sharma leads SRH with 323 runs at a strike rate of 215.33 — also the Orange Cap leader of IPL 2026. He's hit 9 T20 hundreds in his career, including 135* off 55 against DC in the last match. Heinrich Klaasen is second with 320 runs at SR 153.11, and captain Ishan Kishan has 238 runs at SR 188.89 (including 91 off 44 against RR in the first leg).
Yashasvi Jaiswal leads RR's run-scoring charts with 245 runs in 7 matches. Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has been the explosive opener with strike rate above 220. With the ball, Jofra Archer has 11 wickets including a 3-fer in the last match vs LSG, and Ravi Bishnoi matches him with 11 wickets. Ravindra Jadeja's unbeaten 43 off 29 vs LSG showcased his all-round value.
The Sawai Mansingh Stadium pitch is balanced — early grass gives pacers like Archer assistance in the first 6 overs, then it slows significantly through the middle phase (overs 7-15) where spinners thrive. Larger boundaries make power-hitting harder than at most IPL venues. Score of 175-185 is winning total. Chasing teams have done well historically — 41 of 65 matches won by sides bowling first.
Jaipur is balanced because it gives every type of bowler something. The first 6 overs offer pace and seam to fast bowlers due to early grass on the pitch. Overs 7-15 belong to spinners as the surface dries and starts gripping. Overs 16-20 reward smart bowlers who can mix yorkers and slower balls. For batters, you can score freely once set, but the larger boundaries (compared to Wankhede or Bengaluru) mean raw power isn't enough — you need timing.
Chasing teams have a clear edge at Jaipur. 41 of 65 IPL matches at the venue (~63%) have been won by sides bowling first. Reasons: (1) Dew kicks in around over 12 of second innings, neutralizing spinners, (2) batters can pace their chase against a clear target, (3) the pitch tends to ease as the match progresses. Both captains will want to bowl first if they win the toss tonight.
The larger boundary dimensions at Sawai Mansingh make power-hitting more difficult. This benefits: (1) Spinners — easier to defend with deep fielders, (2) Pacers using yorkers and slower balls, (3) Skilled batters who time the ball over slogging. It hurts: (1) Pure power hitters relying on mistimed shots clearing the rope, (2) Quick boundary-clearing in the middle overs. SRH's ultra-aggressive batting style is harder to execute here than at the smaller Hyderabad ground.
Heinrich Klaasen is the world's most destructive middle-order batter against spin. He has 320 runs at SR 153.11 in IPL 2026 and 83* in the last match vs DC. His ability to clear the rope against quality leg-spin and finger-spin is unmatched. On a Jaipur surface where overs 7-15 are spin-dominated, Klaasen's role becomes pivotal. If he survives Ravi Bishnoi's wrist spin, SRH's finishing power is ruthless. RR have to dismiss him early.
Ravindra Jadeja's unbeaten 43 off 29 balls vs LSG was the innings rescue mission. RR were 32/3 in 4 overs after Mohammed Shami and Mohsin Khan struck early. Jadeja anchored the chase with his trademark unbeaten cameo, taking RR to 159 — which they then defended successfully (lowest defended total of IPL 2026). His all-round value is huge for RR.
Yashasvi Jaiswal has 245 runs in 7 matches — solid but not spectacular by his standards. He was dismissed by Praful Hinge in the first leg vs SRH. Tonight at home, with the revenge motive and Jaipur conditions favouring patient batting, expect Jaiswal to play a long innings. He's RR's most critical batting asset on a surface that rewards timing over power.
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has been the most explosive opener of IPL 2026 with a strike rate above 220 and over 246 runs. The young left-hander has been RR's powerplay enforcer, often setting the tone with quickfire 30-40 ball cameos. His pyrotechnic batting will be crucial against SRH's new-ball pacers tonight.
Mayank Yadav returned to LSG for their match against RR (which RR won by 40 runs), replacing Avesh Khan in the playing 11. Mayank's last IPL game was against PBKS in IPL 2025 — he was sidelined due to a recurrence of a lumbar stress fracture. His return to LSG was significant, but it didn't help LSG who fell to RR in the build-up to tonight's match.
Three high-value markets: (1) Match Odds — back RR at 1.85-1.95 (home advantage tilts coin flip), (2) Top SRH Batsman — Abhishek Sharma is the predictable but reliable pick, (3) Total Match Runs UNDER 360 — Jaipur is NOT a 220 belter, larger boundaries plus spin phase keeps totals contained. Avoid markets on Vaibhav Sooryavanshi unless you trust his cameo to last 25+ balls.
Moderate-to-heavy dew is expected at Jaipur from over 12 of the second innings. This means: (1) Bowl-first wins toss decisions become near-automatic, (2) Spinners (Bishnoi, Jadeja, Zeeshan Ansari) become less effective in the second innings, (3) Chasing team gets a clear advantage, (4) "Total runs over" markets benefit if dew is heavy because chases become easier. Strategy: bet on chasing team to win, lean toward batting in second innings markets.
Yes, especially on player-specific markets. The form gap on Abhishek Sharma vs other openers is huge — fancy "over 32.5 runs" markets give predictable value. Klaasen's spin-destroying ability makes him a top-batsman fancy candidate. Bishnoi vs Klaasen "first wicket?" markets offer enhanced odds for high-upside bets. Stake 50% on match odds, 50% on fancy markets given the closeness of this fixture.
Click any WhatsApp button on this page to message our ReddyWin9 agent. Share your name and deposit amount. Within 60 seconds you receive verified login credentials for a trusted IPL betting platform. Deposit via UPI (min ₹100), then place match odds, session and fancy bets on RR vs SRH. Withdrawals hit your UPI within 10 minutes — meaning you can bank winnings before MI or CSK take the field next.
"Lambi" betting refers to wagering on the final match score — typically the innings total of the team batting first or the chasing team's final score. For RR vs SRH at Jaipur, the par lambi line is around 175-185. If you back "over" you win if the final innings total goes above the line. Lambi markets are extremely popular among Indian bettors for their simplicity and ReddyWin9 offers competitive odds across all IPL matches.
RR successfully defended 159 runs against LSG in their last match — the lowest defended total of IPL 2026 so far. This was made possible by RR's bowling masterclass, particularly Jofra Archer's 3-fer and Ravi Bishnoi's mid-overs control. The defence shows what RR's bowling attack can do when conditions favour them — exactly the scenario they'll be hoping for at Jaipur tonight.
Abhishek Sharma is SRH's left-handed opener and the IPL 2026 Orange Cap leader with 323 runs at SR 215.33. He hit his 9th T20 hundred (135* off 55 balls) against DC in his last innings — one of the most explosive innings of IPL 2026. Abhishek is known for his ultra-aggressive style, attacking from ball one, and his ability to clear ropes consistently. He's been crucial to SRH's recent 3-match winning streak.
"Pink Army" is the affectionate name for Rajasthan Royals' fans, derived from the franchise's pink jerseys (one of their primary kit colours). RR's loyal fan base has supported the team through thick and thin since 2008. Tonight at Sawai Mansingh, the Pink Army gets to roar in person for the first time this season — a major emotional lift for the players. Home crowd intimidation can boost team performance by 4-6% on average.
Yes, RR are well-placed for playoffs — sitting 2nd with 10 points from 7 matches. They need 4-5 more wins from their remaining matches to virtually guarantee a top-4 finish. A win against SRH tonight pushes them to 12 points and significantly strengthens their playoff position. RR are clear contenders for a top-2 finish if they maintain consistency.
SRH started IPL 2026 slowly with just 1 win in their first 4 matches, but they've turned the season around dramatically with 3 consecutive victories. Their most recent win was the 47-run demolition of Delhi Capitals where Abhishek Sharma scored 135* off 55 and Klaasen contributed 83*, posting 242/2. Two earlier wins included victories over RR (first leg, 57 runs) and other teams. Their NRR is now an impressive +0.820.
Three reasons: (1) FIRST HOME MATCH of IPL 2026 — fans haven't seen them play live this season, creating a cathartic atmosphere, (2) Pink Army home crowd will be at maximum volume, lifting the players, (3) Revenge motive — they lost to SRH by 57 runs in the first leg less than 2 weeks ago, that wound is fresh. Combined, these emotional factors are worth roughly 4-6% in win probability — the difference between a coin flip and a slight favourite.
Critical. At Sawai Mansingh, 41 of 65 matches (63%) have been won by the toss-winning bowling side. With dew expected from over 12 of second innings, the chase advantage is even bigger tonight. Both captains will desperately want to win the toss and bowl first. If RR win the toss, their odds tighten to ~58%; if SRH win toss, the line goes back to 50-50. Watch the toss carefully before placing match odds.
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